Two years after the devastating destruction of the September 11 terrorist
attacks, Lower Manhattan's real estate market is seeing the green shoots of
recovery.
Alongside the construction site at Ground Zero, businesses - including many
that two years ago would not have been typical Lower Manhattan tenants -
have moved to the area, lured by landlord incentives and federal tax breaks
for bringing jobs there, as well as the promise of one of the best public
transportation hubs in Manhattan once it is rebuilt.
Among those who have returned or relocated from other locations are Thacher,
Proffitt & Wood, a law firm that had been in the World Trade Center; Health
Insurance Plan of New York, which is moving from midtown and taking 485,000
sq ft at 55 Water Street; and the Teachers' Retirement System of New York,
which is taking 157,000 sq ft in the same building.
Other not-for-profit organisations that would have been out of place amid
the financial services behemoths that once dominated Lower Manhattan, not
least because they would not have been able to afford it, are coming to the
neighbourhood too.
Educational organisations are leasing space there because it is
available and affordable. In January, New York University's
School of Continuing and Professional Studies opened a downtown
campus in the Woolworth Building, two blocks north of Ground
Zero.
Financial and economic losses in the area pale in comparison
with the human tragedy that took place there but as people put
their lives back together, they focus on every day events and
more mundane activities.
"This is a difficult week but I feel optimistic," says Bruce
Surry, executive vice-president at CB Richard Ellis. He has
worked in Lower Manhattan for 25 years and, before September 11
2001, he worked in 1 Liberty Plaza, next to the World Trade
Center.
Mr Surry says his clients are more upbeat now than at any time
in the past two years with hotels and shops, such as Borders
Books, which had been in the towers, reopening and
transportation expected to be better than it had been.
In addition to the economic revival, the area will be more
aesthetically pleasing once it is rebuilt.
"The destruction of the World Trade Center was addition by
subtraction," says James Corl, senior vice-president at Cohen &
Steers Capital Management, a Reit (real estate investment trust)
investor. "Even with the small hint of green space that is there
today, you can tell that the area surrounding the site is going
to be the best and most highly amenitised location in downtown,"
says Mr Corl. "The location has gotten a lot better. Those
buildings, from a real estate standpoint, were awful."
The improving atmosphere and local economy is something that
Morgan Stanley is hoping other people recognise since it plans
to sell 140 Broadway, a 1m sq ft building one block east of
Ground Zero.
"We expect to see a record price on the sale," says Peter
Riguardi, president of the New York region for Jones Lang
LaSalle. He says Morgan Stanley is asking for $400 a sq ft or
more.
The price per foot is half of that fetched by the General Motors
Building, a trophy skyscraper on Fifth Avenue sold for a record
$1.4bn last month but it would be a significant marker for Lower
Manhattan real estate values.
Not only is the area becoming more attractive to different kinds
of business, it is luring residents who once thought living
downtown meant only going as far south as TriBeCa.
Mitchell Moss, professor of planning and director of urban
studies at New York University, says about a million square feet
in Lower Manhattan has been converted to housing in the past two
years.
"It has great light and shadow - it's becoming the new SoHo and
TriBeCa and has become good value to a young educated
population," he says.
Michael Bloomberg, New York's mayor, has been encouraging the
transformation and has been luring restaurants, bars and other
services to the area.
Even so, the neighbourhood is unlikely to make a complete
transition into a residential area, especially because the
economic incentives to companies are too strong.
The average rental price in Lower Manhattan is about $39 a sq ft
while midtown offices rent for about $50 a sq ft, says Greg
Gang, managing director of Sage Group Associates, a builder and
developer that owns buildings in midtown and downtown Manhattan.
Cost has been a strong incentive to businesses feeling the
economic downturn from which Manhattan still suffers. "The
decision to move downtown from midtown is purely economic," says
Mr Gang.
The economic incentives are compelling as the area tries to
recover after the loss of an extraordinary amount of space two
years ago.
Out of 97m sq ft, more than 34m sq ft were affected, 13m of
which disappeared, says M Meyers Mermel, chief executive
of TenantWise, a real estate research firm that has
followed the impact of September 11 on the downtown Manhattan
real estate market.
The gap between downtown and midtown vacancies is narrowing.
This month, the vacancy rate downtown was 15.6 per cent versus
12.2 per cent in midtown, according to TenantWise. A year ago,
downtown had a 17.4 per cent vacancy rate while midtown was 9.6
per cent.
"We are slowly but surely seeing people who lost their space
come back," says Mr Riguardi, at Jones Lang LaSalle. "It is a
great market and there is a lot of opportunity down there."